It began with the announcement of economic measures and the publication of an executive decree that eliminated the subsidy for extra gasoline and diesel, and ended with a political crisis that put the Government against the wall. It was 11 days when the agendas of at least five actors came together and collided with consequences that were still unpredictable.
One week after the Confederation of Indigenous Nationalities (Conaie) deposed the mobilization and President Lenín Moreno decided to repeal Decree 883, which abolished the subsidy, Ecuador has deceased persons (8, according to the Ombudsman’s Office; 6, for Ministry of Government), hundreds of police and civilians injured, hundreds of protesters prosecuted for terrorism, rebellion or illegal association and a polarized population.
Although the truce arrived on Sunday, October 13, there is still no certainty that the crisis can be overcome in the short term, as the demands of each sector are latent.
The Unitary Front of Workers, the largest trade union center, announced that on October 30 it will conduct a march against labor reform; Meanwhile, the indigenous sector still assesses its position against the new decree for a possible targeting of the subsidy.
In his agenda, in addition to the demands in economic matters, there appeared in recent days the requests to raise charges against some of the leaders who led the protests.
Carriers expect a rise in tickets and compensation, so they hold meetings to define how to get a pre-loan.
The correísta militancy – despite the arrests of leaders like Paola Pabón – is alert. Former President Rafael Correa marks the lines of action of his supporters from abroad, on Twitter and with the support of active cells “in territory”. His thesis is clear. Beyond that, for example, he is in solidarity with journalists and indigenous people, whom he disqualified in his mandate, he insists on the dismissal of Moreno and the advancement of elections.
The Assembly was silent for days. Its president, César Litardo, at the press conferences, resorts to the defense of the constitutional order and democratic stability, while on the sides information provided by the legislators themselves on meetings is leaked to the press in which several legislative sectors did not rule out applying the crossed death impelled by the correísta wing, but only until last moment.
For its part, the Moreno government is split between those who propose lowering tensions and preparing a period ending without major tensions (only 19 months left) and those, especially on the economic front, make accounts and prepare budgets, with the objective to sustain the support of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and reach the end of the month with the necessary resources to pay salaries and obligations.
The departure of two chiefs of the Armed Forces two days after the protests were suspended, the resignation of Berenice Cordero as a minister and the absence of mediators with political weight to reach the natives or the drivers add to the tense environment in which they are Plan the government agenda.
The mayors of Quito, Jorge Yunda; from Guayaquil, Cynthia Viteri, and more sectional authorities have preferred to lower their profile after the end of the indigenous mobilization and review their agendas, since the rehabilitation of cities that were seriously affected and define the new transport rates are pending.
The strike gave way to a truce, but the particular agendas remain at the negotiating table.